🐙OctoTrend
🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Yes
6.5%
No
93.5%
$432K
Total Vol
$10K
24h Vol
$150K
Liquidity
—
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1438.46
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 6.5% and No at 93.5%. This is based on $431,569.78 total volume.
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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? — OctoTrend