Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related Markets
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Trump out as President by June 30?
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Correlated Markets
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?