🐙OctoTrend
🤖aiEnds 8mo

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Yes
70.0%
No
30.0%
$30K
Total Vol
$5K
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
+4.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$42.86
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

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Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

99%+1.6%

Correlated Markets

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independent

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

same

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

same

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

same

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

same

FAQ

What is "Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 70.0% and No at 30.0%. This is based on $29,686.56 total volume.
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