Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

0%

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

0%-3.5%

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

0%-24.1%

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

0%-35.4%

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

2%-4.0%

FAQ