O
โ‚ฟcryptoEnds 7mo

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Yes5.7%
94.3%No
$12K
Total Vol
$9
24h Vol
$6K
Liquidity
+0.1%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

11%

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

100%+5.0%

Iran leadership change by December 31?

35%+1.0%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

32%-0.5%

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

67%+6.5%

FAQ

What is "Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 5.7% and No at 94.3%. This is based on $11,761.414 total volume.
โ† Markets