O
₿cryptoEnds 1mo

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Yes15.5%
84.5%No
$101K
Total Vol
$3
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
—
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 15.5% and No at 84.5%. This is based on $100,956.586 total volume.
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