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โ‚ฟcryptoEnds 7mo

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Yes17.0%
83.0%No
$27K
Total Vol
$99
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
-2.5%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

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FAQ

What is "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 17.0% and No at 83.0%. This is based on $27,137.69 total volume.
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