₿cryptoEnds 7mo
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
Yes11.5%
88.5%No
$839
Total Vol
$63
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
-0.5%
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
FAQ
What is "Alcatraz reopened in 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program. Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 11.5% and No at 88.5%. This is based on $839.493 total volume.