O
🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?

Yes16.5%
83.5%No
$20K
Total Vol
$42
24h Vol
$13K
Liquidity
+0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$506.06
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

49%-13.0%

Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

6%-7.2%

Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

7%-11.7%

Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

8%-2.8%

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

30%+2.5%

Correlated Markets

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

independent

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

opposite

Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

opposite

Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

opposite

Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

opposite

FAQ

What is "U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 16.5% and No at 83.5%. This is based on $19,939.377 total volume.
← Markets