O
β‚ΏcryptoEnds 8mo

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes40.5%
59.5%No
$78K
Total Vol
$112
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
-1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$146.91
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve to β€œYes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 40.5% and No at 59.5%. This is based on $77,504.42 total volume.
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Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | 40.5% Odds β€” OctoTrend