πŸ™OctoTrend
πŸ›οΈpoliticsEnds 8mo

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Yes
66.5%
No
33.5%
$1.3M
Total Vol
$47K
24h Vol
$107K
Liquidity
-1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$50.38
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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FAQ

What is "Starmer out by December 31, 2026?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 66.5% and No at 33.5%. This is based on $1,264,606.2 total volume.
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