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🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

Will Trump deport more than 1m people?

Yes1.1%
99.0%No
$5K
Total Vol
$189
24h Vol
$7K
Liquidity
—
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$9423.81
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Trump deport more than 1m people?"?▾
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 1.1% and No at 99.0%. This is based on $5,230.921 total volume.
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