📈economyEnds 8mo
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
29.5%
No
70.5%
$9K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$4K
Liquidity
+4.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$238.98
If No wins
$-100.00
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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FAQ
What is "Another US debt downgrade before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 29.5% and No at 70.5%. This is based on $9,253.394 total volume.