πŸ™OctoTrend
β‚ΏcryptoEnds 8mo

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Yes
17.5%
No
82.5%
$109K
Total Vol
$16K
24h Vol
$28K
Liquidity
+1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$471.43
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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FAQ

What is "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?"?β–Ύ
This market will resolve to β€œYes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to β€œNo”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
What is the current probability?β–Ύ
The market currently prices Yes at 17.5% and No at 82.5%. This is based on $109,372.2 total volume.
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