🐙OctoTrend
₿cryptoEnds 8mo

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
$378K
Total Vol
$5K
24h Vol
$35K
Liquidity
-0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$70.94
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 58.5% and No at 41.5%. This is based on $378,422.06 total volume.
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