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๐Ÿ›๏ธpoliticsEnds 7mo

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Yes10.5%
89.5%No
$48K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
-1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$809.09
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 10.5% and No at 89.5%. This is based on $48,354.19 total volume.
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