🐙OctoTrend
🤖aiEnds 8mo

Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Yes
93.5%
No
6.5%
$1K
Total Vol
$1
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
-1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$6.95
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Related Markets

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

7%-1.5%

Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

49%+1.5%

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

39%-9.5%

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

84%+0.5%

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

14%

Correlated Markets

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

opposite

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

same

Iran leadership change by December 31?

independent

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

same

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

opposite

FAQ

What is "Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 93.5% and No at 6.5%. This is based on $1,364.437 total volume.
← Markets