🐙OctoTrend
🤖aiEnds 5mo

Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Yes
20.5%
No
79.5%
$6K
Total Vol
$423
24h Vol
$760
Liquidity
-10.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$387.80
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Related Markets

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

72%-13.0%

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

11%

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

37%-13.5%

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

22%-9.5%

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

50%-14.5%

Correlated Markets

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

opposite

Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?

independent

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

opposite

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

opposite

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

opposite

FAQ

What is "Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 20.5% and No at 79.5%. This is based on $5,634.44 total volume.
← Markets