Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Damascus Governorate, or any target within it, between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Damascus Governorate. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Damascus Governorate, or cause damage. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.
Related Markets
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?