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🏛️politicsEnds 8mo

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Yes20.5%
79.5%No
$112K
Total Vol
$1
24h Vol
$4K
Liquidity
—
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

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FAQ

What is "Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 20.5% and No at 79.5%. This is based on $112,366.03 total volume.
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