๐Ÿ™OctoTrend
โ‚ฟcryptoEnds 3h

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?

Yes
1.8%
No
98.2%
$977K
Total Vol
$73K
24h Vol
$24K
Liquidity
-0.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$5305.41
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 1.8% and No at 98.2%. This is based on $976,850.7 total volume.
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