🐙OctoTrend
🔬scienceEnds 8h

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

Yes
1.3%
No
98.7%
$55K
Total Vol
$2K
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
+0.9%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$7592.31
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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FAQ

What is "Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 1.3% and No at 98.7%. This is based on $55,077.67 total volume.
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